Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.065273 0.077037 0.090203 0.106015 0.124476 0.145333 0.170674
2025-06-01 0.046722 0.061780 0.080516 0.105477 0.137796 0.178160 0.232333
2025-06-08 0.035649 0.051525 0.072976 0.103946 0.147361 0.205890 0.290597
2025-06-15 0.029597 0.046041 0.069824 0.106494 0.161336 0.239986 0.360945
2025-06-22 0.024323 0.040369 0.065003 0.105234 0.168885 0.265188 0.421261
2025-06-29 0.020061 0.035311 0.060021 0.102520 0.173242 0.285480 0.476059
2025-07-06 0.016637 0.030922 0.055247 0.099128 0.175602 0.302377 0.526961
2025-07-13 0.014795 0.028891 0.054002 0.101291 0.187205 0.335305 0.607801
2025-07-20 0.013058 0.026722 0.052126 0.101947 0.196069 0.364370 0.685202
2025-07-27 0.011619 0.024858 0.050483 0.102700 0.205041 0.394427 0.767610
2025-08-03 0.010486 0.023399 0.049366 0.104226 0.215533 0.428251 0.860611
2025-08-10 0.009697 0.022516 0.049238 0.107641 0.230036 0.471088 0.975404
2025-08-17 0.008347 0.020219 0.045926 0.104166 0.230458 0.487179 1.040818
2025-08-24 0.007458 0.018808 0.044294 0.104031 0.237827 0.518044 1.139877
2025-08-31 0.006595 0.017304 0.042220 0.102601 0.242172 0.543105 1.229707
2025-09-07 0.006107 0.016625 0.041918 0.105134 0.255578 0.588763 1.368611
2025-09-14 0.005448 0.015395 0.040126 0.103893 0.260161 0.615673 1.469341
2025-09-21 0.004796 0.014064 0.037881 0.101213 0.260968 0.634158 1.553083
2025-09-28 0.004196 0.012764 0.035512 0.097863 0.259675 0.647600 1.626594
2025-10-05 0.003916 0.012316 0.035287 0.099999 0.272303 0.695145 1.786122
2025-10-12 0.003600 0.011707 0.034541 0.100647 0.281202 0.734672 1.930570
2025-10-19 0.003321 0.011155 0.033866 0.101391 0.290445 0.776052 2.084157
2025-10-26 0.003095 0.010729 0.033484 0.102899 0.301936 0.824347 2.260533